Okun ide Balkanom: Rast, poslovi i nelagodni ples bivše Jugoslavije – Deo I
Reading Time: 10 minutes1. „Zakon” stiže u region koji retko voli proseke Okunov zakon se obično predstavlja kao uredna tvrdnja: kada proizvodnja raste,…
Okun goes Balkan: Growth, jobs and the former Yugoslavia’s uneasy dance – Part I
Reading Time: 11 minutes1. A “law” arrives in a region that rarely does averages Okun’s Law is usually introduced as a tidy proposition:…
Okunov zakon, korak po korak: Ponovljiva mapa puta
Reading Time: 10 minutes1. Kako testirati „zakon“ koji stalno menja mišljenje Ovo je drugi nastavak u kratkom serijalu o odnosu nezaposlenosti i ekonomskog…
Okun’s Law, step by step: A replicable roadmap
Reading Time: 11 minutes1. How to test a “Law” that keeps changing its mind This is the second instalment in a short series…
Okunov zakon: Pravilo koje radi, dok ne prestane
Reading Time: 14 minutesEkonomisti vole zakone. Stvarnost voli izuzetke. Okunov zakon sedi nezgodno između: dovoljno je slavan da zasluži veliko početno slovo, dovoljno…
Okun’s Law: The rule that works, until it doesn’t
Reading Time: 14 minutesEconomists love laws. Reality loves exceptions. Okun’s Law sits awkwardly in between: famous enough to earn a capital letter, modest…
Construction in Serbia, 2000Q1–2024Q4: Part 2 — Dependence, forecasting, and synchronization with GDP
Reading Time: 9 minutes1. Part 2 introduction Part 1 established the structural anatomy of the series: a strong trend plus durable seasonality. Part…
Construction in Serbia, 2000Q1–2024Q4: The trend, the seasons, and what the cycle is telling us
Reading Time: 7 minutesThis post analyses in two parts Serbia’s quarterly Construction index (base 2021 = 100) over 2000Q1–2024Q4. The tone is deliberately…
Real GDP in Slovenia, 2000Q1–2025Q2: Trend, Seasonality and Shocks
Reading Time: 13 minutes1. Introduction Real gross domestic product (real GDP) measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy,…
Real GDP in Serbia, 2000Q1–2025Q2: Trend, Seasonality and Shocks in a Catch-Up Economy
Reading Time: 15 minutes1. Introduction Real gross domestic product (real GDP) is the broadest summary measure of economic activity. It captures the value…