Okunova fatamorgana Srbije: Kad rast i poslovi odbijaju da marširaju u koraku – Deo III
Reading Time: 6 minutesDokazi nisu nihilistički, ali jesu uslovni, a politika mora da živi s tim. 1. Šta dokazi za Srbiju kažu o…
Serbia’s Okun mirage: When growth and jobs refuse to march in step – Part III
Reading Time: 7 minutesThe evidence is not nihilistic, but it is conditional, and policy has to live with that. 1. What Serbia’s evidence…
Okun’s Law, Balkan edition: A methodology guide for Serbia (without the pain) – Part II
Reading Time: 7 minutesFrom “is this data even usable?” to “does growth lead jobs?”, one careful step at a time. 1. From charts…
Ghosts of Yugoslavia in the labour market: Serbia’s Okun curve on the loose – Part I
Reading Time: 8 minutesBefore the tests, the charts already tell a story, just not a tidy one. The full econometric methodology behind this…
Okun ide Balkanom: Rast, poslovi i nelagodni ples bivše Jugoslavije – Deo I
Reading Time: 10 minutes1. „Zakon” stiže u region koji retko voli proseke Okunov zakon se obično predstavlja kao uredna tvrdnja: kada proizvodnja raste,…
Okun goes Balkan: Growth, jobs and the former Yugoslavia’s uneasy dance – Part I
Reading Time: 11 minutes1. A “law” arrives in a region that rarely does averages Okun’s Law is usually introduced as a tidy proposition:…
Retail trade and catering in Serbia: What the seasonal anatomy reveals
Reading Time: 7 minutesData context and figures. This note interprets a set of monthly charts for Serbia’s retail trade (constant prices) and catering…
Unit labour costs in Serbian industry: What the monthly data say (2008–2025)
Reading Time: 7 minutes1. Introduction Unit labour cost (ULC) is a compact measure of cost-pressures from wages relative to productivity. When ULC rises,…
Average wages in Serbia, 2005–2025: Trend, seasonality, and the post-inflation normalisation
Reading Time: 9 minutes1. Introduction Average wages are one of the cleanest windows into an economy’s living-standard dynamics. They condense firm-level conditions, labour-market…
Real GDP in Slovenia, 2000Q1–2025Q2: Trend, Seasonality and Shocks
Reading Time: 13 minutes1. Introduction Real gross domestic product (real GDP) measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy,…