Part 2. Can Bosnia and Herzegovina’s GDP Be Forecast from Its Own Past?
Reading Time: 4 minutesARIMA estimation and short-term forecasting Part 2 moves from description to forecasting. Since Part 1 showed that the GDP series…
Bosnia and Herzegovina’s GDP in the Long Cycle: Recovery, Forecasts and Regional Synchronisation, 2000–2025
Reading Time: 5 minutesPart 1. From Post-War Recovery to Mature Expansion Bosnia and Herzegovina’s GDP as a quarterly time series Gross domestic product…
Šest ekonomija, jedan „zakon”, i region koji stalno ruši uobičajenu skalu – Deo III
Reading Time: 8 minutes1. Jedan region, mnoge tranzicije i tvrdoglava makro veza U studiji, privlačnost Okunovog zakona je varljivo jednostavna: kada proizvodnja raste…
Six economies, one “law”, and a region that keeps breaking the ruler – Part III
Reading Time: 8 minutes1. One region, many transitions, and a stubborn macro relationship In the study’s telling, the appeal of Okun’s Law is…
Kada „slika” nije dovoljna: Okun ide na panel sud – Deo II
Reading Time: 8 minutes1. Od slika ka dokazima: Zašto panel testovi dolaze sledeći U Delu I smo pustili grafikone da govore. Ovde ih…
When “the picture” isn’t enough: Okun’s Law goes to the panel court – Part II
Reading Time: 9 minutes1. From pictures to proof: why the panel tests come next In Part I we let the charts do the…
Okun ide Balkanom: Rast, poslovi i nelagodni ples bivše Jugoslavije – Deo I
Reading Time: 10 minutes1. „Zakon” stiže u region koji retko voli proseke Okunov zakon se obično predstavlja kao uredna tvrdnja: kada proizvodnja raste,…
Okun goes Balkan: Growth, jobs and the former Yugoslavia’s uneasy dance – Part I
Reading Time: 11 minutes1. A “law” arrives in a region that rarely does averages Okun’s Law is usually introduced as a tidy proposition:…
Okunov zakon: Pravilo koje radi, dok ne prestane
Reading Time: 14 minutesEkonomisti vole zakone. Stvarnost voli izuzetke. Okunov zakon sedi nezgodno između: dovoljno je slavan da zasluži veliko početno slovo, dovoljno…
Okun’s Law: The rule that works, until it doesn’t
Reading Time: 14 minutesEconomists love laws. Reality loves exceptions. Okun’s Law sits awkwardly in between: famous enough to earn a capital letter, modest…